SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chelsea in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
46.4% ( -0.3) | 23.56% ( 0.05) | 30.04% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 60.68% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.1% ( -0.13) | 40.9% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.71% ( -0.13) | 63.29% ( 0.13) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% ( -0.16) | 17.89% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.32% ( -0.29) | 48.68% ( 0.29) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.9% ( 0.1) | 26.1% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.84% ( 0.13) | 61.16% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.76% Total : 46.4% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.04% |
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