While Feyenoord have been far from convincing thus far, this feels like the ideal game to make some headway up the league. Although Utrecht have been solid enough, all things considered, in defence this season, we feel that they will concede a goal in each half to lose out yet again.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 51.56%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
-0.52) 
0.35) 
