SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Konyaspor | 6 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 5 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | Besiktas | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Salernitana | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Fiorentina | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Bologna | 6 | -2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 25.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Fiorentina |
48.34% ( 0.05) | 25.99% ( -0) | 25.66% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.46% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.89% ( -0.02) | 54.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.47% ( -0.02) | 75.53% ( 0.02) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% ( 0.01) | 22.4% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.09% ( 0.02) | 55.91% ( -0.02) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.74% ( -0.05) | 36.26% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.96% ( -0.05) | 73.04% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 3% Total : 48.34% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.66% |
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