Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
Result | ||
Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Hearts |
54.95% ( 0.22) | 25.35% ( -0.07) | 19.7% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 44.51% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.91% ( 0.1) | 57.09% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.03% ( 0.08) | 77.97% ( -0.08) |
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.19% ( 0.13) | 20.81% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.52% ( 0.21) | 53.48% ( -0.21) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.2% ( -0.11) | 43.79% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.04% ( -0.09) | 79.95% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 14.3% 2-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.93% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 19.7% |
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