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IB
Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Fatih Terim Stadium
HL

Istanbul
3 - 1
Hearts

Ndayishimiye (4'), Gurler (33'), Ozcan (64')
Ndayishimiye (80'), Aleksic (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Atkinson (90')
Sibbick (24'), Smith (39'), Atkinson (71'), Cochrane (80'), Halliday (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 1-2 Hearts
Sunday, October 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 3-0 Hearts

Although Hearts have improved since being blown away on matchday one, few people will expect them to make a dent in Istanbul on Thursday night. We are not one of those people, leading us to predict a routine win for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawHearts
54.95% (0.223 0.22) 25.35% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07) 19.7% (-0.148 -0.15)
Both teams to score 44.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.91% (0.104 0.1)57.09% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.03% (0.082999999999998 0.08)77.97% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (0.13499999999999 0.13)20.81% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.52% (0.208 0.21)53.48% (-0.209 -0.21)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.2% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)43.79% (0.105 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.04% (-0.087 -0.09)79.95% (0.086999999999989 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 54.93%
    Hearts 19.7%
    Draw 25.35%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawHearts
1-0 @ 14.3%
2-0 @ 11.22% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 54.93%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.11% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.11% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 19.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Istanbul 3-1 Giresunspor
Monday, October 31 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Istanbul
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-0 Istanbul
Saturday, October 22 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 2-0 Istanbulspor
Sunday, October 16 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 3-0 RFS
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Istanbul 0-2 Sivasspor
Monday, October 10 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ross County 1-2 Hearts
Sunday, October 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-1 RFS
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hearts 3-4 Celtic
Saturday, October 22 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Hearts
Sunday, October 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Hearts
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-2 Hearts
Sunday, October 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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