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Europa Conference League | Final
May 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
FL

Olympiacos
1 - 0
Fiorentina

El Kaabi (116')
Podence (28'), Jovetic (94'), Paschalakis (95'), El Kaabi (117')
FT
(aet)

Martinez (42'), Kouame (79'), Biraghi (99')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%).

Result
OlympiacosDrawFiorentina
39.19% (-1.432 -1.43) 25.22% (-0.26 -0.26) 35.59% (1.695 1.7)
Both teams to score 56.86% (1.227 1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.23% (1.446 1.45)46.76% (-1.445 -1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.97% (1.341 1.34)69.02% (-1.337 -1.34)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.39% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)23.61% (0.089000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.31% (-0.126 -0.13)57.68% (0.127 0.13)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.43% (1.691 1.69)25.56% (-1.689 -1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.56% (2.25 2.25)60.43% (-2.249 -2.25)
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 39.19%
    Fiorentina 35.59%
    Draw 25.22%
OlympiacosDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.565 -0.57)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 6.29% (-0.425 -0.43)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.19%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.374 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.177 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.265 0.26)
0-2 @ 5.61% (0.198 0.2)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.288 0.29)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.202 0.2)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.205 0.21)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.152 0.15)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 35.59%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-2 Olympiacos
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Olympiacos 2-0 AEK Athens
Wednesday, May 15 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: PAOK 2-0 Olympiacos
Sunday, May 12 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Olympiacos 2-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, May 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-4 Olympiacos
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Olympiacos 4-1 Lamia
Sunday, April 28 at 3pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Cagliari 2-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, May 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Napoli
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Monza
Monday, May 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Brugge 1-1 Fiorentina
Wednesday, May 8 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Brugge
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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