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Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
OPAP Arena
BL

AEK Athens
0 - 1
Brighton


Gacinovic (27'), Zuber (63')
Gacinovic (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pedro (55' pen.)
Veltman (12')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PAS Giannina 0-1 AEK Athens
Sunday, November 26 at 3pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 37.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (5.45%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
AEK AthensDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
38.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 23.78% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 37.68% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Both teams to score 62.33% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.24% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)39.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)62.11% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)20.84% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)53.53% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)54.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    AEK Athens 38.54%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 37.68%
    Draw 23.77%
AEK AthensDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.44%
1-0 @ 6.95%
2-0 @ 5.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 38.54%
1-1 @ 10.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.53%
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 8.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.66%
2-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 37.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: PAS Giannina 0-1 AEK Athens
Sunday, November 26 at 3pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: AEK Athens 3-0 Lamia
Sunday, November 12 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: AEK Athens 0-2 Marseille
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Kifisia 1-1 AEK Athens
Saturday, November 4 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: AEK Athens 2-0 PAOK
Monday, October 30 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Marseille 3-1 AEK Athens
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-3 Brighton
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Sheff Utd
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Ajax 0-2 Brighton
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Everton 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-1 Fulham
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-0 Ajax
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League


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