SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Freiburg in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.
| Result | ||
| Backa Topola | Draw | Freiburg |
36.87% ( -0.01) | 23.6% ( 0.03) | 39.53% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.94% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.06% ( -0.16) | 38.94% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.74% ( -0.16) | 61.26% ( 0.16) |
| Backa Topola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( -0.07) | 21.3% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.76% ( -0.12) | 54.24% ( 0.11) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% ( -0.08) | 20.02% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.78% ( -0.13) | 52.22% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Backa Topola | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.87% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 39.53% |
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