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Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Gradski stadion
O

Backa Topola
2 - 2
Olympiacos

Dakovac (63'), Pantovic (90')
Petrovic (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Masouras (16'), Podence (57')
Paschalakis (85')
Ntoi (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Backa Topola
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
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Last Game: PAS Giannina 0-3 Olympiacos
Sunday, October 1 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague

We said: Backa Topola 1-2 Olympiacos

With Backa Topola having showed their credentials against West Ham, this has all the makings of a closely-fought tussle. Nevertheless, the superior quality in the Olympiacos ranks may come to the fore, leading us to predict a narrow victory for the Greek giants. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Backa TopolaDrawOlympiacos
29.97% (-0.041 -0.04) 27.05% (-0.026 -0.03) 42.98% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.24% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.21% (0.088999999999999 0.09)55.79% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.08% (0.072999999999997 0.07)76.92% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Backa Topola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (0.016999999999996 0.02)33.72% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.62% (0.018000000000001 0.02)70.38% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (0.078999999999994 0.08)25.71% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (0.105 0.1)60.63% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Backa Topola 29.97%
    Olympiacos 42.98%
    Draw 27.05%
Backa TopolaDrawOlympiacos
1-0 @ 9.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.52%
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 29.97%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 11.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.69% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 8% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.94% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.62% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Backa Topola
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Backa Topola 1-4 Braga
Tuesday, August 15 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Braga 3-0 Backa Topola
Tuesday, August 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Backa Topola 6-6 FCSB (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, September 17 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Petrocub 0-2 Backa Topola
Thursday, August 27 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: PAS Giannina 0-3 Olympiacos
Sunday, October 1 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Olympiacos 4-1 Aris
Wednesday, September 27 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Olympiacos 4-0 Kifisia
Sunday, September 24 at 3pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Olympiacos 2-3 Freiburg
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 Olympiacos
Sunday, September 17 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Olympiacos 4-0 Lamia
Sunday, September 3 at 6pm in Greek Superleague


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