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Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
LL

Freiburg
3 - 2
Lens

Sallai (67', 90+2'), Gregoritsch (99')
Holer (43'), Kubler (61'), Streich (66')
FT
(aet)
Costa (28'), Wahi (45+2')
Frankowski (65'), Sotoca (67'), Fulgini (95'), Medina (105+2'), Samba (120+2'), Said (120+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 3-3 Frankfurt
Sunday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Reims 1-1 Lens
Sunday, February 18 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We say: Freiburg 1-1 Lens (1-1 a.e.t., Freiburg win on penalties)

There was very little to separate the sides in the first leg, and this has all the hallmarks of a tie that could go the distance this week. Lens have shown stronger form domestically, but home advantage is likely to play its part in favour of Freiburg, as this appears to be one of the games most likely to be decided by a penalty shootout across all of Thursday's action. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%).

Result
FreiburgDrawLens
36.88% (-0.143 -0.14) 25.12% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 37.99% (0.16 0.16)
Both teams to score 57.32% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (0.074999999999996 0.07)46.22% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (0.07 0.07)68.52% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)24.59% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.91% (-0.061 -0.06)59.08% (0.061 0.06)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76% (0.119 0.12)23.99% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.76% (0.172 0.17)58.24% (-0.171 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 36.88%
    Lens 37.99%
    Draw 25.12%
FreiburgDrawLens
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.81% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77%
3-0 @ 2.72% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 36.88%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.12%
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.42% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.01% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.01% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.86% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 37.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Freiburg 3-3 Frankfurt
Sunday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Lens 0-0 Freiburg
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Dortmund 3-0 Freiburg
Friday, February 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 3-1 Freiburg
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Reims 1-1 Lens
Sunday, February 18 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-0 Freiburg
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lens 3-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, February 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Lens
Saturday, February 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-2 Lens
Sunday, January 28 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-2 PSG
Sunday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1


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