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Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Rams Global Stadium

Galatasaray
3 - 2
Sparta Prague

Demirbay (19'), Mertens (60'), Icardi (90+1')
Yilmaz (47'), Akturkoglu (82')
Nelsson (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Preciado (47'), Kuchta (65')
Laci (41'), Rynes (49'), Birmancevic (79'), Krejci (82')
Rynes (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 2-0 Istanbul
Saturday, February 10 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Galatasaray 3-1 Sparta Prague

Confidence is flowing through the veins of both sets of players right now, but with Sparta Prague only just returning to competitive action last weekend after a period of friendlies, the visitors may be at a slight disadvantage. Coupled with the fact that Galatasaray often flaunted their offensive prowess in the Champions League, a Lions contingent brimming with talented attackers - some of whom boast plentiful European experience - should come good in a dominant first-leg display. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 59.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 20.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
GalatasarayDrawSparta Prague
59.3% (0.023999999999994 0.02) 20.58% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 20.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.22% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.4% (0.018999999999998 0.02)36.6% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.25% (0.022000000000006 0.02)58.75% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.9% (0.012 0.01)12.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.36% (0.026999999999994 0.03)37.64% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.5% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)31.5% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.89% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 59.3%
    Sparta Prague 20.13%
    Draw 20.58%
GalatasarayDrawSparta Prague
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.99% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 3.65% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 3.16% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 1.54% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 59.3%
1-1 @ 9.3% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.58%
1-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 4.4% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 20.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-0 Istanbul
Saturday, February 10 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 0-2 Galatasaray
Friday, February 2 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Gaziantep
Monday, January 29 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-1 Istanbulspor
Thursday, January 25 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-5 Galatasaray
Sunday, January 21 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Kayserispor
Monday, January 15 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: MFK Karvina 0-3 Sparta Prague
Saturday, February 10 at 2pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 2-1 Teplice
Sunday, December 17 at 5pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Aris Limassol 1-3 Sparta Prague
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sparta Prague 3-0 Jablonec
Saturday, December 9 at 2pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Pardubice 1-2 Sparta Prague
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 1-0 Betis
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa League


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