SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.72%) and 2-0 (5%). The likeliest Hacken win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Hacken |
46.22% ( -1.76) | 21.25% ( -0.24) | 32.54% ( 2) |
| Both teams to score 70.84% ( 2.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.82% ( 2.24) | 28.19% ( -2.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.03% ( 2.73) | 48.97% ( -2.73) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.9% ( 0.27) | 13.1% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.28% ( 0.55) | 39.72% ( -0.55) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.52% ( 2.14) | 18.48% ( -2.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.32% ( 3.48) | 49.69% ( -3.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Hacken |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.37) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 5% ( -0.58)1-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.63)3-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.35)4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.16)4-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.15)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.26% Total : 46.22% | 1-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.26)0-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.34)Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.25% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.25)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.23)3-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.18)Other @ 3.58% Total : 32.54% |
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