Molde lost all three of their away games in Champions League qualifying, and we think that trend could continue into Thursday's fixture when they face a Qarabag side who have avoided defeat in their last 12 UEFA home games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.
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