Nantes will relish their role as underdogs in front of their home supporters, and, as they demonstrated in the first leg, have the credentials to cause problems for Juventus on Thursday.
However, the Italians boast plenty of European experience and, on paper, have a stronger squad that should be capable of grinding out a slender victory to advance to the last 16.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
