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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
JL

Spezia
0 - 2
Juventus


Agudelo (16'), Reca (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kean (32'), di Maria (66')
Locatelli (1'), Fagioli (51')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 2-2 Spezia
Saturday, February 11 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Nantes
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Spezia 0-2 Juventus

There is little hope for Spezia in this contest based on recent results - in addition to their appalling record versus Juventus - but their visitors have lost twice to Monza this term and also against Maccabi Haifa. A surprise is possible, then, but Juve's front three contains the quality to conjure goals from nearly nothing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 16.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Juventus in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
SpeziaDrawJuventus
16.63% (-0.427 -0.43) 21.33% (-0.178 -0.18) 62.04% (0.601 0.6)
Both teams to score 50.83% (-0.306 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.23% (0.042999999999999 0.04)45.77% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.91% (0.038999999999998 0.04)68.09% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.24% (-0.499 -0.5)40.76% (0.493 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.66% (-0.45 -0.45)77.34% (0.44499999999999 0.44)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8% (0.199 0.2)14.2% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.09% (0.39 0.39)41.91% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 16.63%
    Juventus 62.02%
    Draw 21.32%
SpeziaDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 5.19% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-1 @ 4.55% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 2.33% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.36% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 16.63%
1-1 @ 10.13% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 21.32%
0-1 @ 11.29% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 11.02% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.9% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.18% (0.141 0.14)
1-3 @ 6.44% (0.041 0.04)
0-4 @ 3.5% (0.094 0.09)
1-4 @ 3.14% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.41%
0-5 @ 1.37% (0.046 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.23% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 62.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Empoli 2-2 Spezia
Saturday, February 11 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, February 5 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Spezia
Friday, January 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Roma
Sunday, January 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 5-2 Spezia
Thursday, January 19 at 2pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Torino 0-1 Spezia
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Nantes
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, February 12 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 0-3 Juventus
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Lazio
Thursday, February 2 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Juventus 0-2 Monza
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 3-3 Atalanta
Sunday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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