SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Servette had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Servette win it was 1-2 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Servette |
55.13% ( -0.03) | 22.5% ( 0.02) | 22.36% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.84% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.39% ( -0.05) | 42.61% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.98% ( -0.05) | 65.02% ( 0.06) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.65% ( -0.03) | 15.35% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.87% ( -0.06) | 44.13% ( 0.06) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( -0.01) | 32.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.58% ( -0.02) | 69.42% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Servette |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 55.13% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 5.86% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 22.36% |
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