Despite being held to a draw by the same opponents away from home, Servette should fancy themselves as a stronger outfit than Thursday's visitors, and with home advantage in Switzerland they should have what it takes to get over the line and move clear in third place.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Servette in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Servette.
-0.03) 
0.04) 
