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Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Epet Arena
LL

Sparta Prague
1 - 5
Liverpool

Bradley (46' og.)
Krejci (62'), Zeleny (73')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Mac Allister (7' pen.), Nunez (25', 45+3'), Diaz (53'), Szoboszlai (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 0-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 2-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Sparta PragueDrawLiverpool
19.86% (0.309 0.31) 20.6% (0.249 0.25) 59.54% (-0.56 -0.56)
Both teams to score 59.64% (-0.37 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.86% (-0.73 -0.73)37.14% (0.726 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.66% (-0.793 -0.79)59.34% (0.791 0.79)
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.92% (-0.127 -0.13)32.07% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.45% (-0.144 -0.14)68.54% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.8% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)12.2% (0.381 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.14% (-0.811 -0.81)37.86% (0.807 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Prague 19.86%
    Liverpool 59.54%
    Draw 20.6%
Sparta PragueDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 5.32% (0.073 0.07)
1-0 @ 4.45% (0.141 0.14)
2-0 @ 2.53% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.02% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 0.96% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 19.86%
1-1 @ 9.36% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.91% (0.137 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.6%
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.66% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.168 0.17)
1-3 @ 6.91% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 6.07% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.93% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.63% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-4 @ 3.19% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-4 @ 2.07% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.53% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-5 @ 1.34% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 59.54%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sparta Prague 0-0 Slavia Prague
Sunday, March 3 at 5pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Slovacko 1-3 Sparta Prague
Sunday, February 25 at 5pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 4-1 Galatasaray
Thursday, February 22 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sparta Prague 2-1 Slovan Liberec
Sunday, February 18 at 5pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-2 Sparta Prague
Thursday, February 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: MFK Karvina 0-3 Sparta Prague
Saturday, February 10 at 2pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-1 Liverpool
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Southampton
Wednesday, February 28 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Liverpool
Sunday, February 25 at 3pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 4-1 Luton
Wednesday, February 21 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-4 Liverpool
Saturday, February 17 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Burnley
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Premier League


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