Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 0-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 2-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.