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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
AM

Girona
0 - 1
Atletico


Stuani (90+11'), Gazzaniga (90+12')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morata (90+1')
Llorente (57'), Savic (66'), De Paul (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 3-2 Girona
Saturday, March 4 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 6-1 Sevilla
Saturday, March 4 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 1-2 Atletico Madrid

This has the potential to be a very tricky match for Atletico due to Girona's home record this season, but the Red and Whites are in impressive form at the moment and will fancy their chances of claiming another three points on Monday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Girona had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
GironaDrawAtletico Madrid
31.82% (0.676 0.68) 26.6% (0.361 0.36) 41.58% (-1.042 -1.04)
Both teams to score 51.37% (-0.868 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.58% (-1.235 -1.24)53.42% (1.232 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.05% (-1.057 -1.06)74.95% (1.053 1.05)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.82% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)31.17% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (-0.186 -0.19)67.51% (0.182 0.18)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (-1.084 -1.08)25.36% (1.082 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (-1.511 -1.51)60.15% (1.507 1.51)
Score Analysis
    Girona 31.82%
    Atletico Madrid 41.58%
    Draw 26.59%
GironaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.399 0.4)
2-1 @ 7.37% (0.063 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.37% (0.21 0.21)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 31.82%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.376 0.38)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 10.84% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 41.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Getafe 3-2 Girona
Saturday, March 4 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-3 Girona
Sunday, February 26 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 6-2 Almeria
Friday, February 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 2-0 Girona
Friday, February 10 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 1-0 Valencia
Sunday, February 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 0-1 Barcelona
Saturday, January 28 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 6-1 Sevilla
Saturday, March 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico
Saturday, February 25 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, February 19 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Atletico
Sunday, February 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-1 Getafe
Saturday, February 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 0-1 Atletico
Sunday, January 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga


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