SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
38.73% ( -0.41) | 24.32% ( 0.07) | 36.95% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 60.23% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.54% ( -0.29) | 42.46% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.13% ( -0.29) | 64.87% ( 0.29) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.06% ( -0.33) | 21.94% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.78% ( -0.5) | 55.21% ( 0.5) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( 0.05) | 22.84% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.43% ( 0.08) | 56.57% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.73% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.32% | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 36.95% |
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