Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
