Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
0.08) 
-0.03) 
