Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 19.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Pumas win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Pumas
58.81% ( 0.29)	21.44% ( -0.02)	19.75% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 56.48% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.79% (

-0.3)

41.21% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.4% (

-0.3)

63.6% (

0.31)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.29% (

-0)

13.71% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.05% (

-0.02)

40.94% (

0.02)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.45% (

-0.44)

34.55% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.73% (

-0.48)

71.27% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Toluca 58.81%

Pumas 19.75%

Draw 21.44%

Toluca	Draw	Pumas
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 58.81%	1-1 @ 10% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.44%	1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.75%