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M
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Velodrome
T

Marseille
0 - 0
Toulouse


Correa (64'), Marcelino (80+80'), Harit (89')
FT

Schmidt (4'), Desler (45'), Magri (77'), Restes (79'), Bangre (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Marseille
Friday, September 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Marseille 3-1 Toulouse

While Toulouse have made a decent start to the season, we expect Marseille to maintain their unbeaten record by claiming a relatively comfortable victory on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawToulouse
52.16% (-1.01 -1.01) 23.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.72% (1.017 1.02)
Both teams to score 57.64% (1.192 1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1% (1.041 1.04)42.89% (-1.039 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7% (1.024 1.02)65.3% (-1.023 -1.02)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.52% (0.018000000000001 0.02)16.48% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.8% (0.032999999999994 0.03)46.2% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (1.412 1.41)30.99% (-1.411 -1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (1.624 1.62)67.29% (-1.621 -1.62)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 52.16%
    Toulouse 24.72%
    Draw 23.11%
MarseilleDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.425 -0.42)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.377 -0.38)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 52.16%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.186 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.202 0.2)
0-1 @ 5.98% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.11 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.17 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.155 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 24.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Marseille
Friday, September 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Brest
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 2-2 Marseille
Friday, August 18 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Panathinaikos (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, August 15 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Reims
Saturday, August 12 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Panathinaikos 1-0 Marseille
Wednesday, August 9 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Clermont
Sunday, September 3 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Toulouse
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-1 PSG
Saturday, August 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-2 Toulouse
Sunday, August 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 Roma
Sunday, August 6 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-2 Norwich
Tuesday, July 25 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1


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