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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2024 at 2pm UK
Roazhon Park
CF

Rennes
3 - 1
Clermont

Omari (31'), Terrier (58', 64')
Seidu (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Matsima (62')
Caufriez (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Rennes
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Brest
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Rennes 2-0 Clermont

Rennes endured a difficult evening in Milan on Thursday, but they should be very confident of returning to winning ways against the division's basement dwellers. Clermont conceded four without laying a glove on Lille during their last Ligue 1 outing, and we are expecting a similar story for Les Lanciers at Roazhon Park on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
RennesDrawClermont
59.87% (0.92599999999999 0.93) 21.99% (-0.423 -0.42) 18.14% (-0.503 -0.5)
Both teams to score 51.73% (0.42299999999999 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.9% (1.031 1.03)46.1% (-1.031 -1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.6% (0.967 0.97)68.4% (-0.968 -0.97)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.01% (0.65300000000001 0.65)14.99% (-0.653 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.57% (1.226 1.23)43.43% (-1.226 -1.23)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.85% (0.030999999999999 0.03)39.15% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.13% (0.029 0.03)75.86% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 59.86%
    Clermont 18.14%
    Draw 21.98%
RennesDrawClermont
1-0 @ 11.13% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 10.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.69% (0.163 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.27% (0.158 0.16)
4-0 @ 3.17% (0.147 0.15)
4-1 @ 2.98% (0.14 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.077 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.067 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.081 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 59.86%
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.98%
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.239 -0.24)
1-2 @ 4.9% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.58% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 18.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Rennes
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 11 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Sochaux 1-6 Rennes
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Montpellier
Saturday, February 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-3 Rennes
Friday, January 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Marseille (9-8 pen.)
Sunday, January 21 at 8.05pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Brest
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 4-0 Clermont
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Nantes 1-2 Clermont
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 1-1 Clermont (1-3 pen.)
Friday, January 5 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France


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