Not only have Rennes scored in all but one of their last 16 Europa League matches, but they also tend to travel well - a record of eight wins from 12 European away games speaks for itself.
Milan may have half an eye on Sunday's Serie A clash with neighbours Monza, so the tie could remain finely poised ahead of next week's return leg.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
0) 
-0.01) 
