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Major League Soccer
Mar 31, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Bold Stadium
FD

Austin
2 - 1
Dallas

Cascante (54'), Rubio (70')
Wolff (20'), Wolff (24'), Rubio (58'), Cascante (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ansah (51')
Paes (19'), Burgess (90+9')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 2-0 Austin
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-3 Vancouver
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 1-1 Dallas

With both teams left disappointed by their slow starts to the campaign and desperate for a win over Texan rivals, we anticipate a tight encounter in Austin on Sunday and cannot quite pick a winner, instead seeing a share of the points as the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawDallas
44.23% (-0.123 -0.12) 25.47% (-0.035 -0.04) 30.3% (0.16 0.16)
Both teams to score 54.28% (0.2 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.64% (0.221 0.22)49.36% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.59% (0.2 0.2)71.4% (-0.19800000000001 -0.2)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (0.036000000000001 0.04)22.27% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.28% (0.054000000000002 0.05)55.72% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (0.226 0.23)30.17% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68% (0.267 0.27)66.32% (-0.265 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 44.23%
    Dallas 30.3%
    Draw 25.47%
Austin FCDrawDallas
1-0 @ 10.09% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 44.23%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.83% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 30.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Orlando City 2-0 Austin
Saturday, March 23 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-2 St Louis City
Sunday, March 10 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Austin
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Austin
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-3 Vancouver
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 Dallas
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-2 Montreal
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-0 Inter Miami
Monday, January 22 at 11pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Seattle 1-0 Dallas
Saturday, November 11 at 3am in Major League Soccer


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