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AF
Major League Soccer
Mar 10, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
SL

Austin
2 - 2
St Louis City

Hedges (14'), Cascante (51')
Cascante (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lowen (49' pen.), Pompeu (90+3')
Pompeu (31'), Parker (61'), Totland (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Austin
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 2-0 NY City
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 1-3 St Louis City

St Louis City have had the better of Austin FC in both the previous meetings between these two sides, scoring a massive nine goals in just two games. We expect the hosts to continue this record against their upcoming opponents with another big victory at the Q2 Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.38%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawSt Louis City
66.33% (0.13900000000001 0.14) 19.29% (-0.064 -0.06) 14.38% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.32% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.92% (0.13999999999999 0.14)41.08% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.53% (0.143 0.14)63.47% (-0.141 -0.14)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.48% (0.078999999999994 0.08)11.52% (-0.077 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.58% (0.168 0.17)36.42% (-0.166 -0.17)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)40.87% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.56% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)77.44% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 66.33%
    St Louis City 14.38%
    Draw 19.29%
Austin FCDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 10.99%
1-0 @ 10.17% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.92% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.28% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.83% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.85% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 66.33%
1-1 @ 9.11% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.29%
0-1 @ 4.21% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.89% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 14.38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Austin
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Austin
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-4 Los Angeles
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 3-0 DC United
Thursday, October 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 1-0 Austin
Sunday, October 1 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 2-0 NY City
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-0 St Louis City
Wednesday, February 28 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: St Louis City 1-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 2-1 Houston
Wednesday, February 21 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Kansas 2-1 St Louis City
Sunday, November 5 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 1-4 Kansas
Monday, October 30 at 2am in Major League Soccer


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