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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for DC United had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Toronto |
34.24% ( -0.5) | 24.77% ( -0.07) | 40.99% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 58.19% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.07% ( 0.22) | 44.93% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.71% ( 0.21) | 67.29% ( -0.21) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.52% ( -0.19) | 25.48% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.68% ( -0.26) | 60.32% ( 0.26) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.09% ( 0.38) | 21.91% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.82% ( 0.56) | 55.18% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.24% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.45% Total : 40.99% |
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