SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Austin FC |
64.36% ( -0.05) | 20.54% ( 0.02) | 15.1% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.9% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.79% ( -0.06) | 45.21% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.45% ( -0.05) | 67.55% ( 0.05) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.68% ( -0.03) | 13.31% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.84% ( -0.06) | 40.16% ( 0.06) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.57% ( -0) | 42.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.19% ( -0) | 78.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Austin FC |
| 2-0 @ 11.48% 1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 64.36% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.54% | 0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.19% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.08% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.21% 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 1.59% Total : 15.1% |
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