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National League South | Gameweek 24
Feb 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Hawthorns

Chelmsford City
2 - 0
Slough

Terry (59'), Krasniqi (62')
Grant (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Slough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Havant & W'ville 3-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 0-1 Slough
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 53.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Slough Town had a probability of 23.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Slough Town win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawSlough Town
53.16% (-3.558 -3.56) 23.61% (0.986 0.99) 23.23% (2.573 2.57)
Both teams to score 54.29% (0.328 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.47% (-1.271 -1.27)46.53% (1.272 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.2% (-1.204 -1.2)68.8% (1.206 1.21)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55% (-1.711 -1.71)17.45% (1.713 1.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.08% (-3.072 -3.07)47.92% (3.074 3.07)
Slough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76% (1.726 1.73)34.24% (-1.723 -1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.06% (1.808 1.81)70.93% (-1.806 -1.81)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 53.16%
    Slough Town 23.23%
    Draw 23.61%
Chelmsford CityDrawSlough Town
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-0 @ 9.1% (-0.571 -0.57)
3-1 @ 5.68% (-0.42 -0.42)
3-0 @ 5.3% (-0.665 -0.67)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.341 -0.34)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.444 -0.44)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 53.16%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.48 0.48)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.315 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.17 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.61%
0-1 @ 6.4% (0.615 0.62)
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.518 0.52)
0-2 @ 3.43% (0.472 0.47)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.275 0.28)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.144 0.14)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.217 0.22)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 23.23%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 3-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-2 Bath City
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 1-1 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Welling United
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-0 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 0-1 Slough
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 1-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 1-1 Slough
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 4-3 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-3 Slough
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 2-2 Oxford City
Sunday, January 1 at 1pm in National League South


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