SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 72.17%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 11.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 6-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Dover Athletic |
72.17% ( -0.81) | 16.12% ( 0.41) | 11.71% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 56.01% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.56% ( -0.99) | 32.44% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.92% ( -1.16) | 54.08% ( 1.16) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.15% ( -0.4) | 7.85% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.17% ( -1.03) | 27.83% ( 1.03) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.79% ( -0.05) | 39.21% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.08% ( -0.05) | 75.92% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Dover Athletic |
| 2-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.26)4-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.07)5-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.08)6-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.45% Total : 72.17% | 1-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.12% | 1-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.61% Total : 11.71% |
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