West Ham will certainly be the fresher of the two sides, and it will be interesting to see whether Wolves can shake off what happened against Arsenal on Thursday. It would not be a surprise to see a home or an away win on Sunday afternoon, but we believe that a tight match will finish all square, which is a result that suits neither side at this stage of the campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for West Ham United in this match.
