Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 18.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.24%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
18.02% ( -1.38)	21.39% ( -0.37)	60.59% ( 1.75)

Both teams to score 53.47% (

-1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.33% (

-0.5)

43.67% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.94% (

-0.5)

66.06% (

0.5)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.15% (

-1.8)

37.85% (

1.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.37% (

-1.8)

74.63% (

1.8)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.04% (

0.38)

13.96% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.55% (

0.74)

41.45% (

-0.74)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 18.02%

Sporting Lisbon 60.58%

Draw 21.38%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.33% Total : 18.02%	1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.38%	0-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 10.24% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.72% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 3.31% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 3.22% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.11) 1-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.91% Total : 60.58%