With just two points separating Famalicao and Gil Vicente in the league table, we anticipate an end-to-end affair with both sides taking the game to each other in search of the upper hand. The Vila Nova have put together a solid home run in recent weeks and we are backing them to come away with a slender victory
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
0.44) 
-0.65) 
