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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
M

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Moreirense

Hjulmand (55'), Gyokeres (61'), Diomande (90+6')
Inacio (4'), Santos (35'), Hjulmand (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

de Brito Gonzaga (20'), Marcelo (49')
de Brito Gonzaga (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Moreirense 2-3 Braga
Saturday, September 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Moreirense

With in-form attackers in the side and the team still unbeaten this season, Amorim will expect his side to comfortably get the better of Moreirense here. The visitors gave Braga a huge scare last week, but their inability to hold out for even a draw points towards another defeat here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 17.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawMoreirense
60.33% (-2.504 -2.5) 22.24% (0.793 0.79) 17.43% (1.709 1.71)
Both teams to score 49.59% (1.098 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.73% (-0.399 -0.4)48.26% (0.396 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.59% (-0.365 -0.37)70.41% (0.363 0.36)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.43% (-0.94199999999999 -0.94)15.57% (0.939 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.48% (-1.778 -1.78)44.52% (1.777 1.78)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.73% (1.934 1.93)41.27% (-1.937 -1.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.2% (1.666 1.67)77.79% (-1.67 -1.67)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 60.32%
    Moreirense 17.43%
    Draw 22.23%
Sporting LisbonDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 11.94% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-0 @ 11.11% (-0.56 -0.56)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.89% (-0.592 -0.59)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.181 -0.18)
4-0 @ 3.2% (-0.392 -0.39)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.19 -0.19)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 60.32%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.38 0.38)
0-0 @ 6.42% (0.104 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.241 0.24)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.23%
0-1 @ 5.69% (0.383 0.38)
1-2 @ 4.68% (0.402 0.4)
0-2 @ 2.52% (0.291 0.29)
1-3 @ 1.38% (0.184 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 17.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, September 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, August 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, August 18 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-2 Vizela
Saturday, August 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Everton 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Vizela 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, May 26 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 2-3 Braga
Saturday, September 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Moreirense
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-0 Moreirense
Monday, August 21 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-2 Porto
Monday, August 14 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Farense (3-4 pen.)
Sunday, July 23 at 3.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-2 Arouca
Thursday, December 22 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga


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