SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Fakel win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
20.37% ( 0) | 23.24% ( -0.02) | 56.39% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.54% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.75% ( 0.08) | 48.25% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.6% ( 0.07) | 70.4% ( -0.07) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.03% ( 0.05) | 37.97% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.26% ( 0.05) | 74.74% ( -0.05) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.09% ( 0.03) | 16.91% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.04% ( 0.06) | 46.96% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.35% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.01% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 1.56% Total : 20.37% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.24% | 0-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.14% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.01% 1-3 @ 5.82% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.67% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)0-5 @ 0.95% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 56.39% |
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