SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 66.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 13.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
66.27% ( 0.17) | 20.1% ( -0.08) | 13.63% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.56% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.63% ( 0.14) | 46.37% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.34% ( 0.13) | 68.66% ( -0.13) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.89% ( 0.09) | 13.11% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.25% ( 0.19) | 39.75% ( -0.19) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.73% ( -0.05) | 45.27% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.86% ( -0.04) | 81.14% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 2-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 66.25% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 20.1% | 0-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)1-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.25% Total : 13.63% |
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