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Scottish Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
AA

Motherwell
3 - 1
Alloa

Spittal (2', 88'), Gent (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sammon (27')
Neill (81')
Coverage of the Scottish Cup Fourth Round clash between Motherwell and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 2-2 Motherwell
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: QotS 1-1 Alloa
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 56.59%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 22% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawAlloa Athletic
56.59%21.41%22%
Both teams to score 60.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.04%37.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.79%60.21%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68%13.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.84%40.16%
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44%30.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21%66.79%
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 56.59%
    Alloa Athletic 22%
    Draw 21.41%
MotherwellDrawAlloa Athletic
2-1 @ 9.81%
2-0 @ 8.27%
1-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 6.59%
3-0 @ 5.56%
3-2 @ 3.91%
4-1 @ 3.32%
4-0 @ 2.8%
4-2 @ 1.97%
5-1 @ 1.34%
5-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 56.59%
1-1 @ 9.73%
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 4.07%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.41%
1-2 @ 5.77%
0-1 @ 4.82%
0-2 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.3%
1-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hibernian 2-2 Motherwell
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 3-1 Livingston
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 0-2 Rangers
Sunday, December 24 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 0-0 Motherwell
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 3-0 Motherwell
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: QotS 1-1 Alloa
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 3-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 2-2 Montrose
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Cove Rangers 1-2 Alloa
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 0-0 Hamilton
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Edinburgh 3-0 Alloa
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in Scottish League One


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