SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 66.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 13.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Montrose win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Montrose |
66.83% ( -0.13) | 19.42% ( 0.06) | 13.74% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.12% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.89% ( -0.12) | 43.1% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.49% ( -0.12) | 65.5% ( 0.12) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.02% ( -0.07) | 11.97% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.61% ( -0.15) | 37.39% ( 0.14) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.94% ( 0.02) | 43.05% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.66% ( 0.02) | 79.33% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-0 @ 11.61% 1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.45% Total : 66.83% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 19.42% | 0-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 1.43% Total : 13.74% |
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