SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dundee in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dundee.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | St Johnstone |
41.05% ( 0.04) | 26.31% ( -0.01) | 32.64% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.54% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.96% ( -0) | 52.04% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.23% ( -0) | 73.77% ( -0.01) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.98% ( 0.02) | 25.01% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.32% ( 0.03) | 59.68% ( -0.04) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.07% ( -0.03) | 29.93% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.96% ( -0.04) | 66.03% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 41.04% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.49% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.64% |
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