SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Motherwell |
36.6% ( 0.95) | 24.73% ( -0.05) | 38.68% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 58.73% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.61% ( 0.34) | 44.4% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.24% ( 0.33) | 66.77% ( -0.33) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.1% ( 0.68) | 23.91% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.88% ( 0.96) | 58.12% ( -0.96) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% ( -0.3) | 22.82% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.47% ( -0.44) | 56.53% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Motherwell |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.04% Total : 36.6% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.72% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.26% Total : 38.68% |
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