SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 76.5%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 9.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.82%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.17%), while for a Hibernian win it was 2-1 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Celtic |
9.56% ( 0.03) | 13.94% ( 0.01) | 76.5% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.23% ( 0.04) | 27.77% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.54% ( 0.05) | 48.45% ( -0.06) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.4% ( 0.09) | 39.59% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.72% ( 0.09) | 76.28% ( -0.09) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.03% ( -0) | 5.96% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.22% ( 0) | 22.77% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 9.56% | 1-1 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 13.94% | 0-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 8.82% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0)1-3 @ 8.17% ( 0)0-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 5.76% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 3.25% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)0-6 @ 1.65% ( -0)1-6 @ 1.53% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 4.9% Total : 76.5% |
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