SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 84.38%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 5.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 4-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.8%), while for a Livingston win it was 1-2 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Livingston |
84.38% ( 0.12) | 10.36% ( -0.06) | 5.27% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.15% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.38% ( 0.09) | 26.62% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53% ( 0.11) | 47% ( -0.11) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.57% ( 0.03) | 4.43% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.76% ( 0.1) | 18.24% ( -0.1) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.38% ( -0.1) | 49.62% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.61% ( -0.07) | 84.39% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Livingston |
| 3-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.32% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.47% Total : 84.37% | 1-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 10.36% | 1-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 5.27% |
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