Segunda Division | Gameweek 28
Feb 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Real Zaragoza.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 35.68%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.03%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Malaga win was 1-0 (13.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result |
| Malaga | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
33.86% ( -0.07) | 30.45% ( -0.33) | 35.68% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 40.94% ( 0.83) |
| 33.49% ( 0.98) | 66.51% ( -0.98) |
| 15.07% ( 0.66) | 84.93% ( -0.66) |
| 63.35% ( 0.5) | 36.64% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.57% ( 0.49) | 73.43% ( -0.5) |
| 64.61% ( 0.82) | 35.38% ( -0.82) |
