Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 39.61%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 29.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 2-1 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.66%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.04) 
