Serie B | Gameweek 33
Apr 13, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Gabrielloni (38'),
Da Cunha (60')
Iovine (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Como and Bari.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Bari had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.
| Result |
| Como | Draw | Bari |
45.85% ( 0.03) | 26.91% ( -0) | 27.24% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0.01) |
| 43.44% ( -0.01) | 56.56% ( 0) |
| 22.46% ( -0) | 77.54% ( 0) |
| 75.38% ( 0.01) | 24.62% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.87% ( 0.02) | 59.13% ( -0.02) |
| 63.73% ( -0.03) | 36.27% ( 0.03) |
