Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
0.37) 
-0.02) 
