Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Parma had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
0.65) 
-0.62) 
