SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
46.25% ( 0.01) | 25.45% ( 0.01) | 28.29% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.16% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.74% ( -0.05) | 50.26% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.79% ( -0.04) | 72.21% ( 0.04) |
| Ankaragucu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.27% ( -0.02) | 21.72% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.1% ( -0.03) | 54.89% ( 0.02) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.91% ( -0.05) | 32.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.44% ( -0.05) | 68.55% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 46.25% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.3% |
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