We believe that the recent departure of Abdullah Avci will spark a reaction from the home side and that they will hold Demirspor to a draw, although it will be a low-scoring affair due to the strong defensive nature of both sides.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for an Adana Demirspor win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.
-0.11) 
0.03) 
